Will global energy prices fall this year?

Article posted

27th Feb 2024

Read time

2-4 min read

Author

Mollie Pinnington

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The past few years has seen a lot of turmoil in the global energy market, with prices skyrocketing due to many different factors. But as we are now in 2024, many are wondering: will energy prices finally come down?

A Look at the global landscape

While predicting the future of energy prices is difficult, some positive signs are emerging.

  • Falling wholesale prices: After reaching record highs in 2022, wholesale energy prices have seen a significant decline over the past few months.
  • Increased renewable energy production: The global push towards renewable energy sources like solar and wind is gaining momentum, slowly but steadily displacing dependence on volatile fossil fuels.
  • Shifting geopolitical landscape: Wars across different countries play a major contributor to the energy crisis. Potential resolutions here which could ease pressure on global energy markets.

 

The UK's specific situation

The UK has been particularly vulnerable to the global energy crisis, with households facing significant increases in their energy bills. While the overall downward trend provides some hope, the picture for the UK remains complex:

  • Planned price cap reductions: The UK government has implemented a price cap on energy bills, which is set to be lowered in April 2024. This should offer some relief to consumers, although bills will still likely be higher than pre-crisis levels.
  • Continued reliance on gas: The UK remains heavily reliant on natural gas for energy generation, making it susceptible to fluctuations in global gas prices.
  • Investment in renewables: As with the global trend, the UK is investing heavily in renewable energy sources, which could offer long-term stability to the energy market. However, in the short term this will push up energy prices as energy companies will have to higher standing charges to balance out the cost of implementing renewables into the grid.

 

While a significant drop in energy prices is unlikely, there are indications that the efforts the UK are putting in may see some relief for consumers, both globally and in the UK. However, it's crucial to remember that the situation remains fluid, and unforeseen. These changes in the market can always take time to implement, meaning unfortunately the price situation could get worse before it gets better.

It's also important to note that while prices may fall, they are likely to remain above pre-crisis levels for the foreseeable future. Therefore, exploring ways to conserve energy and increase energy efficiency remains crucial for individuals and businesses alike.

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